CAIMS - PIMS Coronavirus Modelling Conference

The mathematical modelling of SARS-CoV-2 infection and the spread of the disease COVID-19 is focussing on two major objectives. The first one is to understand and manage the epidemiology of the disease. To understand the transition of the epidemic through the society, to forecast the impact of social distancing and other measures, and to help manage the outbreak on the global and local scales. Secondly, modellers are interested in the within-host dynamics of the virus. How does the virus enter the body, how does it spread, how does it interact with the immune system, how does it react to medications, and how does it lead to death in critical cases? Linking the scales, there are people studying the physical transmission characteristics though aerosols, droplets or direct contact.

The modelling tools used to investigate these questions of COVID-19 epidemiology and physiology include a wide range of methods such as individual based models, stochastic models, statistical analysis and machine learning, and differential equation models. These
models become more refined as more and more COVID-19 data become available. The community works closely with clinicians and experimentalists, with access to current data.
COVID-19 Conference

Many of the research groups have made progress and some sophisticated models have been presented on preprint servers. Now is the right time to bring researchers together to exchange ideas and to learn from each other. COVID-19 models are published on a weekly basis and it is difficult to keep track. This conference will help us to paint a fuller picture of the activities, and to critically discuss alternative approaches. It will allow us to exchange data and expertise, and to connect to governments and the public.

Title Speaker Datesort descending
Characterizing the spread of COVID-19 in Canada and the USA Dean Karlen June 22, 2020 - 3:00pm
Fast spread of SARS-CoV-2 in China, Europe and the US Ruian Ke June 22, 2020 - 3:30pm
Spatiotemporal Transmission Dynamics of COVID-19 in Spain Ashok Krishnamurthy June 22, 2020 - 4:00pm
Impacts on community transmission and disease burden of a clinical prediction tool to prioritize limited COVID testing Jody Reimer June 22, 2020 - 4:30pm
A simple criterion to design optimal nonpharmaceutical interventions for epidemic outbreaks Marco Tulio Angulo June 22, 2020 - 6:00pm
Not all interventions are equal for the height of the second peak Joost Jorritsma June 22, 2020 - 6:30pm
Modeling intervention strategies for containing Covid-19 in Nursing homes with digital contact tracing Ilyssa Summer June 22, 2020 - 7:00pm
The timing and nature of behavioral responses affect the course of an epidemic Rebecca Tyson June 22, 2020 - 7:30pm
Implementation of quarantine measures accounting for Covid-19 hospital saturation Mayra Núñez López June 22, 2020 - 9:30pm
Flattening the curve and the effect of atypical events on mitigation measures Mario Santana-Cibrian June 22, 2020 - 10:00pm
Mechanistic modeling of the SARS-CoV-2 and immune system interplay unravels design principles for diverse clinicopathological outcomes Mohit Kumar Jolly June 23, 2020 - 3:00pm
In-host Modelling of COVID-19 in Humans Esteban Abelardo Hernandez Vargas June 23, 2020 - 3:30pm
Modelling evolutionary epidemiology of COVID-19 Sally Otto June 23, 2020 - 4:00pm
Localized outbreaks in S-I-R model with diffusion Chunyi Gai June 23, 2020 - 6:00pm
A SEIR-like model with a time-dependent contagion factor describes the dynamics of the Covid-19 pandemic Ronald Dickman June 23, 2020 - 6:30pm
Modelling the impact of asymptomatic individuals Cedric Chauve June 23, 2020 - 7:00pm
A branching process with contact tracing Martin Barlow June 23, 2020 - 9:00pm
Modelling future biomedical interventions in the COVID-19 epidemic Simon de Montigny June 23, 2020 - 9:30pm
Calibration of time varying contact compartmental models of SARS-COVID-19 Mark Lowerison June 23, 2020 - 10:00pm
The immune response to SARS-CoV-2: Friend or Foe? Penelope Morel June 24, 2020 - 3:00pm
Modelling the systemic and tissue-level immune response to SARS-CoV-2 Adrianne Jenner June 24, 2020 - 3:30pm
Models for immune system interaction and evolution Jane Heffernan June 24, 2020 - 4:00pm
A Quantitative Systems Pharmacology Model of the Immune Response to SARS-COV-2 Wei Dai, Rohit Rao June 24, 2020 - 4:30pm
CAIMS - PIMS Coronavirus Modelling Conference - Panel Penelope Morel, Adrianne Jenner, Jane Heffernan, Wei Dai, Rohit Rao June 24, 2020 - 5:00pm
Law of mass action and saturation in SIR model with applications to coronavirus Theodore Kolokolnikov June 24, 2020 - 6:00pm
Scenario tree and adaptive decision making on optimal type and timing for intervention and social-economic activity changes MIchael Chen, Kyeongah Nah June 24, 2020 - 6:30pm
Mathematical model, analysis and simulations of the COVID-19 pandemic with variable infection rate: Application to South Korea Meir Shillor June 24, 2020 - 7:00pm