Scientific

Despite its large sample efficiency, the truncated flat (TF) kernel estimator of long-run covariance matrices is seldom used, because it lacks the guaranteed positive semidefiniteness and sometimes performs poorly in small samples, compared to other familiar kernel estimators. This paper proposes simple modifications to the TF estimator to enforce the positive definiteness without sacrificing the large sample efficiency and make the estimator more reliable in small samples through better utilization of the bias-variance tradeoff. We study the large sample properties of the modified TF estimators and verify their improved small-sample performances by Monte Carlo simulations.

Topics:

• Quasiperiodic tilings

• The hull of a tiling

• Approximation the hull by CW-spaces

• Application to canonical projection tilings

• Relation to matching rules

• Towards an interpretation

The speaker introduces the formal notion of an approximately specified nonlinear regression model and investigates sequential design methodologies when the fitted model is possibly of an incorrect parametric form. He presents small-sample simulation studies which indicate that his new designs can be very successful, relative to some common competitors, in reducing mean squared error due to model misspecification and to heteroscedastic variation. His simulations also suggest that standard normal-theory inference procedures remain approximately valid under the sequential sampling schemes.

Topics:

• Geometry and Holomony
• Supersymmetry, Spinors, and Calabi-Yau
• Flux and Backreaction
• Energetics of Heterotic Flux Compactification
• Strominger System and Heterotic Flux as a Torsion
• A Supersymmetric Solution to Heterotic Flux Compactification
• Global Issues: Index Counting, Smoothness, etc

In this talk we consider a random walk on a randomly colored lattice and ask what are the properties of the sequence of colors encountered by the walk.